Equities Rise as Middle East Tensions Ease and Oil Retreats

The new trading week is off to a positive start for equities. Investors appear to be taking the absence of major new attacks in the Middle East as good news, supporting the potential for a negotiated settlement. Crude Oil and Treasury yields are down to start the week as traders speculate inflation pressures could start to ease if hostilities subside.

China inflation numbers were mixed. Consumer prices (0.7% v. Street 0.8%) were better than expected, while producer prices (5.7% v. Street 5.3%) were worse than expected.

US equity futures are higher, with NASDAQ futures up 0.7% and Dow futures up 1.0%. In Asia, the Nikkei gained 2.3%, while the Hang Seng declined 0.1% and the KOSPI fell 6.0%. In Europe, the DAX is up 1.1% and the FTSE is up 0.7%.

Commodities are mixed. Crude Oil is down 3.3%, falling toward $87.50/bbl, while Brent Crude is down 3.8%, falling below $95.00/bbl. Gasoline is down 2.5%, falling toward $2.70/gallon. Precious Metals are higher, with Gold up 1.5%, retaking $4,100/oz, and Silver up 1.5%. Copper is up 1.4%, trading above $6.30/lb.

In Rates, the US 10-year Treasury note yield is falling toward 4.85%, while the US 30-year Treasury note yield is falling toward 5.25%. The US Dollar Index is down 0.4%. The Euro is up 0.5% and the Loonie is up 0.2%.

Looking ahead, it is a quieter week for economic data, including China trade data tomorrow, UK GDP on Wednesday and US producer prices on Friday. Earnings season shifts this week to a large number of US small- and mid-cap companies, along with Canadian and international companies reporting.

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