Over the weekend, President Trump threatened Canada with a 100% tariff should it move ahead with a trade deal with China. While this has had no impact on the Loonie or equities as of yet, it has served as a reminder to investors that while the flashpoint of the day may change, underlying conflicts around trade and politics remain unresolved.
Capital continues to flow into defensive havens to start the week. Gold has pushed through $5,000/oz and rallied toward $5,100 with a 2.0% gain. Silver has surged through $100.00/oz toward $110.00, posting a 7.8% gain today. Platinum is up 4.0%, while the Japanese Yen is higher by 1.0%.
With the Yen rallying, the Nikkei fell 1.8% overnight. Other major markets across Asia and Europe, along with US index futures, have been relatively quiet to start the week. In commodity markets, Natural Gas is up 11.9% as a major storm moves through, while Crude Oil is down 0.2%. Copper is higher by 0.40%.
The Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve Board both meet on Wednesday. No changes to interest rates are expected this month, though investors may focus on statements and press conferences for commentary on economic conditions and the future path of policy. Markets also continue to wait for clarity on who will be named the next Fed Chair. It is otherwise a relatively quiet week for economic data.
Earnings season moves into the heart of big-cap reporting this week, including three of the “Magnificent 7” companies. US highlights include Boeing on Tuesday; Meta Platforms, Microsoft, IBM, and Tesla* on Wednesday; Caterpillar* and Apple on Thursday; and ExxonMobil and Chevron to close out the week on Friday. Results also begin to roll out in Canada, with Canadian Pacific and Celestica reporting on Wednesday; Rogers on Thursday; and Canadian National Railway on Friday.
*Shares of Tesla and Caterpillar are held in some portfolios managed by SIA Wealth Management.