US Dollar Rallies Amid Rising Inflation and Falling Stocks

US Consumer Prices (3.0% vs street 2.9%), and US Core CPI (3.3% vs street 3.1%) both came in higher than expected, suggesting that inflation may be bottoming out and starting to turn back upward. US index futures have plunged in the minutes following the release of these numbers. Currently US index futures are down 0.9%-1.0% […]
Stocks Slip Ahead of Powell Testimony

Yesterday’s equity market rally which saw major US indices gain 0.4% to 1.0% appears to have run out of steam this morning. US index futures are currently giving back some of yesterday’s gains, falling 0.2%-0.4%, while in Europe, the Dax and FTSE are essentially flat. President Trump launching 25% tariffs on Steel and Aluminum may […]
Trade War Focus Turns To China

Stocks and currencies have stabilized overnight after President Trump postponed the implementation of tariffs against Canada and Mexico for one month after agreements were reached to improve border security. New 10% tariffs continue, however, and China has retaliated with new tariffs against some US goods and regulatory investigations against some US companies. This morning finds […]
Trade Turmoil Rocks World Markets

Tariffs throw sand into the gears of global commerce and markets have long hated them. They hated them in the Depression, they hated tariffs in 2002, and the hated them at other times over the decades. It should come as no surprise to anyone then that after markets ignored the looming threat of a trade […]
Traders Focus on Earnings While Tariff Threat Looms Larger

A week that started with a selloff appears set to finish with a rally into month-end. US index futures are up 0.2%-0.8% with NASDAQ futures leading the advance. Over in Europe, the Dax is up 0.2% and the FTSE is up 0.3%. Commodity action is mixed with Crude Oil up 0.2% and Copper down 0.4%. […]
Earnings In Focus as Mega Caps Report Results

Coming off a day of 0.3%-0.5% declines for US indices, US index futures are mixed with Dow futures down 0.2% and NASDAQ futures up 0.6%. European trading finds the Dax up 0.2% and the FTSE up 0.5%. We’re in the heart of earnings season now and a lot of big names have reported overnight and […]
Interest Rate Decisions and Big Tech Earnings In Focus Today

Yesterday’s big bounce by the tech sector that drove the NASDAQ back up 2.0% appears to be running out of steam for now as investors turn their focus to major earnings releases and central bank decisions. Overnight, Starbucks ($0.69 vs street $0.67, up 2.5% premarket) beat expectations on earnings. Several big-name technology companies report after […]
US Rally Resumes as Earnings Beat Expectations

US investors are picking up where they left off on Friday, pushing stocks upward. US index futures are up 0.4%-0.6% so far this morning, building on Friday’s gains. Overseas trading has been subdued, particularly in Europe where the Dax, CAC and FTSE are all between -0.1% and +0.1%. The US Dollar is bouncing back today, […]
Light Inflation Helps Stocks to Rebound

It appears that the recent market correction may have run its course for now. Yesterday the Dow shrugged off early losses to finish with a 0.8% gain although the NASDAQ finished down 0.4%. With the exception of Tokyo which fell 1.8% overnight, overseas markets have been on the rebound, including gains of 2.5% for Shanghai, […]
Stock Selloff and Energy Rally Continue

Equity investors and cryptocurrency traders continue to react negatively to last week’s stronger than expected US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Signs of strength in the US economy have added to speculation that there could be significantly fewer interest rate cuts in the US this year dampening the easy money speculation that had underpinned 2024 gains in […]